South Korea church leader apologises for virus spread
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Posted:Mar 2, 2020 6:23 pm
Last Updated:Mar 7, 2020 8:47 am 201036 Views
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The head of the religious sect that has been at the center of the coronavirus outbreak in South Korea has apologized to the nation for the disease's spread.
Lee Man-hee, the leader of the Shincheonji Church of Jesus, got on his knees and bowed at a news conference.
About 60% of the country's more than 4,000 confirmed cases are sect members. Deaths nationwide now stand at 28.
Fatalities globally have now passed the 3,000 mark, although the vast majority are in China, where the outbreak began.
Worldwide, there have been almost 90,000 confirmed cases, with the numbers outside China now growing faster than inside China.
Prosecutors in South Korea have been asked to investigate Mr Lee on possible charges of gross negligence.
"Although it was not intentional, many people have been infected," said the 88-year-old leader. "We put our utmost efforts, but were unable to prevent it all."
Of the confirmed cases, about 75% are from the southern city of Daegu and 73% of those have been linked to the Shincheonji Church.
In the capital, Seoul, the mayor urged the city's 10 million residents to work from home and to avoid crowded places.
Photo 1: Lee Man-hee is the founder of the Shincheonji Church 新天地教主被指「故意過失殺人」 今火速「下跪磕頭謝罪」
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Coronavirus spreading fear plummets stock market
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Posted:Feb 25, 2020 2:44 pm
Last Updated:Mar 1, 2020 9:45 am 207398 Views
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The old saw used be that "when the U.S. sneezes, the rest of the world catches a cold".
Now, a more apropos adage for market bears may be that "when an outbreak of Coronavirus grinds the world's second-largest economy a halt, the rest of the world catches a recession".
Wuhan Coronavirus has spread from China the world, the more serious countries including Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Hong Kong now Italy, Egypt, .... It effects traveling industry and hotel reservation being cancelled. Masks and gloves shortages. Cities and towns lockdown for quarantine. Streets are empty. Food prices raised.
Wuhan mayor said there were estimated 5 million people escaped out from Wuhan city before Xi announced to lockdown Wuhan on January 23rd. Those 5 million Chinese either went to other cities in China, or go abroad to many countries, Japan, S. Korea, Hong Kong, Singapore, USA, Italy. Many countries weren't aware of the Coronavirus spreading and let those people into their countries. There is a 80 y/o S. Korean woman went to church to worship their god and spread out virus to more than 153 persons in church.
Yesterday, Feb 24th, Dow Jones plummeted 1,031.61 points and today, Tuesday, Dow Jones slides another 879.44 points. Dow Jones has consecutively down for the past 4 trading days. Blood stream on the Wall Street. I have sold most of my stocks and became a CASH account. I won't be margin called. I have discipline to sell my stocks when the indexes were all-time high.
The U.S. Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, Proud Antagonist of the U.S. Press, Calls Out China For Stifling Media Coverage of Coronavirus. President Trump went to India to sign trade deal with India. India has 2nd largest population in the world, their labor are low and good in computer knowledge. So, China could be step down from 2nd-largest economy country in the foreseeable future.
"Sea of Red" the three indexes went sharply down.
Dow Jones, Nasdaq and S&P charts.
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Coronavirus outbreak is No "Black Swan", it is "Gray Rhino" event
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Posted:Feb 22, 2020 10:34 pm
Last Updated:Feb 25, 2020 9:36 am 206257 Views
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Coverage of the coronavirus outbreak in China includes maddening references to the outbreak as a “black swan” –that is, a high-impact event that is utterly unforeseeable and unmanageable.
Once you can imagine something, by definition it is no longer a black swan. If you can’t imagine that something has happened before cannot happen again, you are the proverbial ostrich with your head stuck deep in the sand.
Coronavirus demonstrates how dangerous it is to rely on the myth of the black swan metaphor, which unfortunately more often gets used as a cop-out than for its intended use: as a to build more resilient systems.
Given what we know about pandemics and their increasing likelihood, outbreaks are highly probable and high impact. I coined the term “gray rhino” for exactly such events: obvious, visible, coming right at you, with large potential impact and highly probable consequences.
No, we don’t know exactly when or where pandemics will erupt. Nor do we know exactly how they will turn out. That does not mean they are unforeseeable. Very few predictions include that kind of detail –partly because the outcomes depend on how proactive we are in preparing to respond, and whether or not we act quickly.
What we do know is that they will happen. We also know that global air travel –by increasing the likelihood of — and climate change –by expanding the habitat of the kinds of mosquitos that carry Dengue, Zika, and other deadly viruses— have increased their potential strength and likelihood of spreading. We also know that overuse of -particularly antibiotics- has led to more drug-resistant strains of infection.
It should not be a surprise that infectious diseases made the top ten risks in terms of impact on this year’s World Economic Forum Global Risks Report.
By some estimates an influenza pandemic like the one that killed my great-grandfather in 19/18, today could kill 80 million people and knock 5% off of the global economy. And that’s just a strong flu, not a more deadly corona or Ebola type virus.
We also happen to know more than a little about the kinds of things we can do to reduce their danger –but unfortunately have invested too little in best practices.
Pandemics –epidemics that have crossed national borders—have been a constant throughout history, recorded as far back as 430 BC in Athens to the Black Death of the fourteenth century, the European diseases brought by Columbus to the New World and which devastated indigenous populations, and extending through the 1918 Spanish Flu, which killed my great-grandfather. And of course more recently SARS, H1N1, Ebola, and MERS.
The image above is of MERS to drive home that we have seen outbreaks of deadly viruses before; not only can we imagine them but we have very clear images of what they look like.
The World Health Organization tracked 1,483 epidemic events in one hundred seventy-two countries between 20/ and 20/18. It has raised the alarm that the world is not prepared for the next pandemic, despite viral outbreaks being such a clear and present danger. In a September 20/19 report, called for concrete actions to lessen the risk, including stronger commitments by heads of state, countries, and regional bodies to invest in preparing for pandemics; regularly tracking preparedness; increasing funding, particularly for developing countries with weak health systems; improving international coordination.
The best way to catch outbreaks early and contain them is to have a robust healthcare system. While this is most crucial in developing countries with severe healthcare deficits that mean they have trouble handling the most common issues, don’t think that the United States is immune (so to speak). Far too many people don’t get the health care they need because of the . There were about 28 million uninsured non-elderly Americans in 2018. Many people with insurance put off trips to the doctor because of the and/or time. Fewer than half of Americans, for example, get the flu vaccine.
As of this writing, more than 80 people have died and more than 3000 coronavirus cases have been confirmed, mostly in Greater China. Along with China, cases have emerged in Singapore, Japan, Malaysia, South Korea, Thailand, Australia, Vietnam, Canada, France, and across the United States, including (yikes) here in Chicago and elsewhere in the United States. By the time you read this, the data will be out of date.
I woke up this morning to read the harrowing account of a friend had been in Wuhan and developed a cough and slight fever when she returned to Malaysia, and was quarantined in a hospital while waiting what seemed like an interminable amount of time to get her test results –thankfully, negative for coronavirus. “Just” the regular flu.
The World Health organization said on Friday that it’s too early to the coronavirus a global outbreak. Despite its stated emphasis on preparedness, as of this morning had still not yet called the new coronavirus a global health emergency, citing in part China’s aggressive efforts to contain the virus.
China detected the virus December 29th because it had put in place an early-alert system, and within two weeks had analyzed, identified, and released its genetic code globally. As of January 24, it had quarantined cities with a combined population of 35 million.
The Oslo-based Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations is working on a vaccine which it expects to be able to test on human subjects within weeks.
Some self-styled Western health “experts” on Twitter called China’s quarantine and the rising global concern over the coronavirus an over-reaction, noting that the flu kills many more people each year than those identified to date. After all, the CDC’s annual flu burden report for the current season reports that as of January 18 preliminary numbers based on its weekly survey include between 8,200 and 20,000 flu deaths, between 0K and 250K hospitalizations, and between and 21 million cases in the United States.
To be sure, that’s a lot more in terms of total numbers but a much lower mortality rate of about 0.008 %, far below even the mildest pandemics. Between 3 and 4 % of those infected with this coronavirus, unceremoniously dubbed 2019-nCoV, die from it, and about 25 % get extremely ill. Those numbers likely will change as more data comes in. Estimates of mortality rates for past influenza pandemics have ranged from about 0.1 % (19/57 and 19/68 pandemics) to 2.5 % (19/18 pandemic) to % (SARS) to 37 % (!!!) for MERS.
This is a good illustration of the relationship between probability and impact. It is likely enough that this is a virulent enough strain that it could escalate even further, and fast. We don’t know enough yet about transmission or mortality rates of 2019-nCoV. But we do know enough to take it very seriously.
And we know the situation and what we know about it will continue to evolve quickly. Live updates are available at the Washington Post or The New York Times. Check out this excellent article from The Lancet for more on this virus. You can bet there will be lots of ongoing coverage on other media as well. Wherever you get your news, watch out for overly politicized or hysterical accounts as well as any that pooh-pooh the threat. And just toss out anything that claims nobody could have seen it coming.
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Analysts are cutting China GDP forecasts amid coronavirus outbreak
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Posted:Feb 20, 2020 2:17 pm
Last Updated:Feb 29, 2020 7:45 am 194729 Views
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Some analysts and economists are downgrading China’s GDP growth forecast for 2020 as the coronavirus outbreak hits the world’s second largest economy.
Economic activity in many cities halted as factories closed for week-long Lunar New Year holidays. The break was extended in some places — a move that will hit global supply chains.
Meanwhile, the service sector has also been hit as people are encouraged to stay at home.
ANZ: Maintain at 5.8%
Citi: Downgrades from 5.8% to 5.5%
Economist Intelligence Unit: Downgrades from 5.9% to 4.9-5.4%
Macquarie: Downgrades from 5.9% to 5.6%
Mizuho: Downgrades from 5.9% to 5.6%
Moody’s: Maintains at 5.8%
Natixis: Downgrades from 5.7% to 5.5%
Nomura: ‘Significantly lower’ than 6.1%
Richard Bernstein Advisors: Fears will ‘knock stuffing out’ of growth
Vanguard: Maintains at 5.8%
UBS: Downgrades from 6% to 5.5%
Photo 2: Coronavirus: A Chinese woman eats a whole bat in disturbing footage
Photo 3: "Five Suns" appear in China's inner Mongolia
Photo 4 and 5: Coronavirus patients sudden collapse on streets and died. Those patients didn't count in death toll as they were not "confirmed Coronavirus". Their bodies will be cremated without a record.
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The US is finally evacuating Americans from the Diamond Princess.
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Posted:Feb 16, 2020 12:31 pm
Last Updated:Feb 22, 2020 9:06 am 182881 Views
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Three thousands seven hundred and eleven of people have been stuck in their cabins under mandatory quarantine aboard the Diamond Princess, which is docked off the Japanese port city of Yokohama, since February 3. With 356 confirmed cases of coronavirus on board, 70 of which were announced Sunday, the ship has the largest concentration of novel coronavirus cases outside mainland China. On February 19, the controversial quarantine period was set to finally end. There are more than 400 Americans aboard, remaining on the ship for the quarantine period. Most passengers weren't thrilled but accepted the plan. After the quarantine, virus-free passengers were told they could take commercial flights back to the US.
On Saturday afternoon, the US Embassy in Tokyo sent a notice to Americans on board the Diamond Princess laying out plans to evacuate nearly 400 Americans back home.
Once there, another 14 days of mandatory quarantine would begin. Anyone who chose not to get on the flight would have to wait another 14 days in Japan to ensure they were symptom-free before returning to the US. There are 44 Americans on cruise ship docked in Japan test positive for coronavirus and they can't get on plane to return to USA.
That decision has prompted anger among the American passengers, with many demanding answers to two simple questions about the US response: Why did the American government wait so long to make the about-face decision? What prompted such a dramatic shift in US policy?
Japanese government plans to begin testing all those who remain on board for the virus. Results should be provided within three days. From February 21, staggered disembarkations would begin.
The abrupt change in US policy led some to believe that Washington lost faith in the effectiveness of the Japanese response to coronavirus.
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The 2020 Summer Olympics, officially known as the Games of the XXXII Olympiad and commonly known as Tokyo 20/20 or the Recovery Olympics, is an upcoming international multi-sport event that is scheduled from Friday, July 24 to Sunday, August 9. Will the Summer Olympics open as scheduled?
Japanese government and people have donated thousands of masks and gloves to Chinese since January, now Japan is short of masks and gloves to protect themselves. Will the Olympics athletes be safe to attend the sports event?
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'Overwhelming' evidence of CCP is running organ harvesting
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Posted:Feb 12, 2020 4:12 pm
Last Updated:Apr 14, 2020 7:18 pm 180461 Views
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Australian Professor Maria Fiatarone Singh says there is no doubt that the Chinese government is forcibly harvesting the organs of Falun Gong practitioners, stating that the “evidence is overwhelming”.
This is NOT fake news. Please Go*gle this blog's title and see the video yourself what an Australian professor says.
If you search the words China organ harvesting, you will see plenty of bloody pictures, I know those are Fulun Gong protesters showing the pictures as actors and actress. However, there are true facts showing China organ harvesting is a lucrative way to make fast money.
You also can search "Organ Transplants and Human Rights Abuses in China". Sir Geoffrey Nice QC and Martin Elliott report the findings of "The Independent Tribunal into Forced Organ Harvesting from Prisoners of Conscience in China".
Those are English videos, so I can't show you the articles. Of course, Chinese doctors or nurses who operated organ harvesting couldn't take atrocious pictures on real cases, but the news have been revealed. Please use your professional judgement.
I enclosed a price list for different organs. I can't show you the atrocious pictures.
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Welcome communist and pro-communist to Wuhan cabin hospital
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Posted:Feb 11, 2020 6:39 pm
Last Updated:Feb 16, 2020 1:31 am 178020 Views
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Wuhan city provides free bed, free new and clean bed sheets, free blankets, free pillows, free meals, free masks, .... for 2000 people with one toilet. No doctor, but some nurses and free services for meals. Welcome to live there for free. Stay in these cabin hospital for good. You can get in, but you can't go out. Free rent, free services. Wonderful!!!
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Brown nosing to CCP is inhumanity
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Posted:Feb 11, 2020 7:53 am
Last Updated:Feb 19, 2020 11:18 pm 167229 Views
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Great disappointment for those people who brown nosing 2 CCP and receiving bribery from CCP. They are inhumanity 2 Chinese people and against the norm.
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Chinese Military Hackers Charged in Equifax Breach
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Posted:Feb 10, 2020 1:39 pm
Last Updated:Feb 14, 2020 1:18 am 164353 Views
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US Attorney General William Barr called the hack "one of the largest data breaches in history".
Chinese Military Hackers Charged in Equifax Breach
Intrusion Affected Nearly Half of All Americans.
U.S. Department of Justice announced charges against four Chinese military-backed hackers in connection with carrying out the 2017 cyberattack against Equifax, a consumer credit reporting agency. The intrusion led to the largest known theft of personally identifiable information ever carried out by state-sponsored actors.
Investigators had previously discovered and announced the type of malware that allowed the hackers to harvest addresses, birth dates, Social Security numbers, and other data on approximately 145 million Americans. Today’s indictment charges that members of the People’s Liberation Army—the armed forces of the People’s Republic of China—were behind that malware attack.
“We in law enforcement will not let hackers off the hook just because they’re halfway around the world.” FBI Deputy Director David Bowdich said.
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